Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Watford

Obafemi (90+5')
Roberts (12'), Barnes (58'), Obafemi (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedro (32')
Kamara (35'), Kone (70'), Pedro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Preston
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Once again on home turf and with the visitors lacking any momentum, we can only envisage another dominant display from the Clarets on Tuesday, with Kompany's men seemingly cruising towards automatic promotion. We fancy Burnley to continue their impressive form at both ends of the pitch and add three more points to their tally at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Watford
67.08% ( -0.05)	20.29% ( 0.03)	12.63% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.22% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-0.06)

49.35% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

-0.05)

71.39% (

0.05)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

-0.03)

13.79% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.88% (

-0.07)

41.11% (

0.06)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.29% (

-0)

48.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.26% (

-0)

83.74% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Burnley 67.07%

Watford 12.63%

Draw 20.29%

Burnley	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.18% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 67.07%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.29%	0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.63%