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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Watford |
67.08% ( -0.05) | 20.29% ( 0.03) | 12.63% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0.06) | 49.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0.05) | 71.39% ( 0.05) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% ( -0.03) | 13.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% ( -0.07) | 41.11% ( 0.06) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.29% ( -0) | 48.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.26% ( -0) | 83.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.18% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 67.07% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.29% | 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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