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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Watford logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Watford

Obafemi (90+5')
Roberts (12'), Barnes (58'), Obafemi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (32')
Kamara (35'), Kone (70'), Pedro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Preston
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Watford

Once again on home turf and with the visitors lacking any momentum, we can only envisage another dominant display from the Clarets on Tuesday, with Kompany's men seemingly cruising towards automatic promotion. We fancy Burnley to continue their impressive form at both ends of the pitch and add three more points to their tally at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawWatford
67.08% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 20.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 12.63% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.22% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.058 -0.06)49.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)71.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)13.79% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)41.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 67.07%
    Watford 12.63%
    Draw 20.29%
BurnleyDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.07%
1-1 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Watford

Burnley
90.2%
Draw
6.1%
Watford
3.8%
132
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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