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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 0
Stoke

Kayembe (47', 73'), Andrews (49')
Issouf Bayo (31'), Sierralta (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (55'), Laurent (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Watford 2-1 Stoke City

Scoring on eight occasions during their first two matches of the season, Watford have hit the ground running under the permanent stewardship of Cleverley. Stoke have been rock solid on their return to competitive action, but we feel that the Potters will suffer their maiden loss of the season at Vicarage Road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
30.17% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 43.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.18 -0.18)52.2% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.158 -0.16)73.91% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.158 -0.16)31.71% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.183 -0.18)68.13% (0.184 0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)57.9% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Watford 30.17%
    Stoke City 43.68%
    Draw 26.14%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.17%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
73.5%
Draw
2.9%
Stoke City
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-0
Watford
Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

Kone (60')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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