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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Watford logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Watford

Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Millwall 1-1 Watford

This has all the makings of being an extremely tight encounter with both sides avoiding defeat with regularity during last season's run-in. On that note, we can only back a low-scoring draw, a result that would satisfy the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
MillwallDrawWatford
30.19% (0.064 0.06) 27.11% (0.12 0.12) 42.7% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (-0.427 -0.43)55.94% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (-0.348 -0.35)77.04% (0.346 0.35)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)33.64% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.191 -0.19)70.29% (0.19 0.19)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.291 -0.29)25.92% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.393 -0.39)60.92% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.19%
    Watford 42.7%
    Draw 27.1%
MillwallDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Millwall vs Watford

Millwall
66.7%
Draw
12.7%
Watford
20.6%
63
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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