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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Watford

Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Sheff Utd
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Watford

Given Watford's poor form away form and how candidly Cleverley spoke about his side's struggles on the road, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Additionally, Leeds are in excellent form and have proven difficult to beat this term, and they should be considered favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
66.94% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 18.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.25% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.259 0.26)39.16% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (0.271 0.27)61.48% (-0.271 -0.27)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)10.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (0.114 0.11)34.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (0.294 0.29)39.84% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (0.269 0.27)76.5% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.93%
    Watford 14.25%
    Draw 18.81%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.81%
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Watford
6.6%
122
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
2-2
Leeds
Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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