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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

Although Middlesbrough will be on a high from their win at West Brom, a second away test in quick succession may be a tough ask. With that in mind, we feel that Watford may edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, even with having less recovery time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
36.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.79% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 37.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (0.299 0.3)49.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (0.268 0.27)71.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.13799999999999 0.14)26.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.183 0.18)61.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17699999999999 0.18)25.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.242 0.24)60.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.51%
    Middlesbrough 37.69%
    Draw 25.79%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
48.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
36.2%
47
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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