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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Fratton Park
Oxford United

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

O'Mahony (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sibley (72')
Kioso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Portsmouth will be desperate to claim their first win of the season before the international break, but we think that the hosts will have to settle for a draw against an Oxford side who have seen their last two matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
40.72% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 34.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.061 -0.06)45.17% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.02000000000001 0.02)22.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.47% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.125 -0.13)60.31% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.72%
    Oxford United 34.45%
    Draw 24.83%
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford United
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
2-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')
Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
2-2
Portsmouth
Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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