FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
4 - 1
Rotherham

Humphreys (43'), Chaplin (74' pen.), Ladapo (79'), Burns (87' pen.)
Keogh (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Washington (47' pen.)
Rathbone (54'), Wood (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Rotherham United

Although Ipswich find themselves a division below their visitors, they arguably boast more quality in their squad and certainly have momentum on their side, and with the addition of home advantage, we back McKenna's side to dump their Championship opponents out of the FA Cup at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Rotherham United
73.61% ( -0.05)	16.73% ( 0.04)	9.66% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.24% (

-0.18)

41.77% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

-0.18)

64.17% (

0.18)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.15% (

-0.06)

9.85% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.33% (

-0.14)

32.67% (

0.14)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.68% (

-0.12)

49.32% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.82% (

-0.08)

84.18% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 73.59%

Rotherham United 9.66%

Draw 16.73%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Rotherham United
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 73.59%	1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.73%	0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.66%