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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
0 - 1
Sunderland


Thomas-Asante (42'), Furlong (63'), Wallace (68'), Kipre (86')
Thomas-Asante (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ekwah (45+2')
Hume (31'), Alese (80'), Styles (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Sunderland

West Brom are cruising towards the playoffs, and we are expecting another solid home performance to all but secure a top-six standing for the Baggies. Sunderland had to work extremely hard to earn a point at Elland Road last time out, however we feel that they will be unable to repeat the trick at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
51.19% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 24.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)47.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)69.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)18.67% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)50% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.73% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.020999999999997 0.02)70.38% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 51.19%
    Sunderland 24.6%
    Draw 24.21%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.6%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Sunderland
2-1
West Brom
Ballard (70'), Neill (84')
Ballard (34')
Thomas-Asante (86')
Sarmiento (51'), Molumby (54'), Chalobah (81'), Furlong (90+3'), Thomas-Asante (90'), Pipa (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 44
West Brom
1-2
Sunderland
Swift (45+1' pen.)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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