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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
2 - 2
West Brom

Manhoef (68'), Vidigal (78')
Thompson (89'), Burger (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnston (24'), Wallace (57')
Diangana (26'), M'Vila (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Huddersfield
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke have endured a mixed run of form in recent times and could struggle to keep hold of the likes of Johnston and Fellows in the West Brom attack. The Baggies will be raring to get back to winning ways following successive draws, and we are expecting the visitors to collect three points in Staffordshire on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
26.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)56.12% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)77.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)36.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)73.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 26.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.24%
    Draw 26.62%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
13.2%
Draw
23.7%
West Bromwich Albion
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 22
West Brom
1-1
Stoke
Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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