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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
2 - 2
West Brom

Manhoef (68'), Vidigal (78')
Thompson (89'), Burger (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnston (24'), Wallace (57')
Diangana (26'), M'Vila (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Huddersfield
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke have endured a mixed run of form in recent times and could struggle to keep hold of the likes of Johnston and Fellows in the West Brom attack. The Baggies will be raring to get back to winning ways following successive draws, and we are expecting the visitors to collect three points in Staffordshire on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
26.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)56.12% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)77.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)36.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)73.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 26.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.24%
    Draw 26.62%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
13.2%
Draw
23.7%
West Bromwich Albion
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 22
West Brom
1-1
Stoke
Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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