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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
West Brom logo

Stoke
2 - 2
West Brom

Manhoef (68'), Vidigal (78')
Thompson (89'), Burger (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnston (24'), Wallace (57')
Diangana (26'), M'Vila (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Huddersfield
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke have endured a mixed run of form in recent times and could struggle to keep hold of the likes of Johnston and Fellows in the West Brom attack. The Baggies will be raring to get back to winning ways following successive draws, and we are expecting the visitors to collect three points in Staffordshire on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
26.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)56.12% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)77.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)36.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)73.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 26.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.24%
    Draw 26.62%
Stoke CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Stoke vs West Brom

Stoke City
13.2%
Draw
23.7%
West Bromwich Albion
63.2%
38
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 22
West Brom
1-1
Stoke
Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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