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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Watford logo

West Brom
2 - 2
Watford

Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Watford

West Brom have been renowned for their stellar home form this season, and we are expecting the Baggies to continue their Black Country form on Easter Monday. Watford went toe-to-toe with Premier League-bound Leeds at Vicarage Road on Good Friday, but we believe that a trip to The Hawthorns will yield no returns for Cleverley's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
46.22% (0.109 0.11) 26.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.21299999999999 0.21)55.26% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.176 0.18)76.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.146 0.15)23.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.208 0.21)58.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.58% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)72.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 46.21%
    Watford 27.22%
    Draw 26.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: West Brom vs Watford

West Bromwich Albion
73.5%
Draw
12.2%
Watford
14.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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