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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Sunderland

Southampton
4 - 2
Sunderland

Armstrong (9'), Armstrong (37' pen.), Rothwell (77', 80')
Aribo (90'), Rothwell (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mundle (62'), Bellingham (71')
Seelt (8'), Ballard (31'), Hjelde (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Sunderland

Sunderland have reached a stage where they can probably throw caution to the wind and go all out for three points. However, Southampton may benefit from the unforeseen midweek break and could make relatively light work of their opponents who are devoid of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSunderland
54.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 22.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05% (-0.012 -0.01)39.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)14.69% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)42.86% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56%30.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.37%
    Sunderland 23.44%
    Draw 22.19%
SouthamptonDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.37%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Sunderland

Southampton
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Sunderland
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Sunderland
5-0
Southampton
Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')

Mara (35'), Adams (69')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-4
Southampton

Khazri (94')
Gabbiadini (30', 45'), Denayer (89' og.), Long (92')
Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm
Round Four
Southampton
1-0
Sunderland
Boufal (66')
Olomola (61')

Khazri (45'), Jones (64'), Ndong (94')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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