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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 2
Sunderland


Wintle (64'), Bowler (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouchiche (12' pen.), Bellingham (27')
Styles (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Sunderland

There has only been one draw in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in all competitions, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared on Friday. Sunderland managed to end their losing run last time out and certainly have enough quality to avoid defeat in Wales on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
33.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 39.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.044000000000004 0.04)54.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)76.24% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.058 0.06)62.45% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.22%
    Sunderland 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
64.1%
Draw
20.3%
Sunderland
15.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff

Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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