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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 2
Sunderland


Wintle (64'), Bowler (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouchiche (12' pen.), Bellingham (27')
Styles (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Sunderland

There has only been one draw in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in all competitions, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared on Friday. Sunderland managed to end their losing run last time out and certainly have enough quality to avoid defeat in Wales on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
33.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 39.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.044000000000004 0.04)54.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)76.24% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.058 0.06)62.45% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.22%
    Sunderland 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
64.1%
Draw
20.3%
Sunderland
15.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff

Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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