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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Bristol City

West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City

Fellows (45'), Wallace (50')
Townsend (28'), Yokuslu (71'), Kipre (85'), Palmer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (45+1'), Knight (45'), Gardner-Hickman (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City

West Brom have added attacking flair to their defensive stability since the turn of the calendar year and should be very confident of another home victory on Saturday. Bristol City are in the doldrums following a poor run of form and at risk of being swept aside at The Hawthorns as the Baggies chase down the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
49.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)54.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.45% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 49.2%
    Bristol City 25.29%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Bristol City

West Bromwich Albion
84.5%
Draw
12.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol City
0-0
West Brom
Pring (39'), Tanner (54')
Phillips (30'), Molumby (67')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Bristol City
3-0
West Brom
Bell (12', 48'), Scott (28')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
2-2
West Brom
Wells (29'), Weimann (85')
Weimann (76')
Grant (68' pen.), Reach (90+3')
Livermore (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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