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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
1 - 1
West Brom

Watmore (21')
Bryan (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Swift (67' pen.)
Bartley (17'), Kipre (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Of all the teams competing for a playoff spot, it is West Brom that have clicked into gear at the right time. Although Millwall have shown their own improvements, we are backing the Baggies to battle their way to a hard-fought victory at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.15% (0.038 0.04) 46.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.122 -0.12)58.12% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.096 -0.1)78.78% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)38.19% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.041 -0.04)74.95% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)24.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.121 -0.12)59.4% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 25.97%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.87%
    Draw 27.14%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
20.5%
Draw
31.8%
West Bromwich Albion
47.7%
44
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
2-1
West Brom
Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Swift (20')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
2-0
West Brom
Bennett (67'), Afobe (76')
Bennett (70')

Furlong (88')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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