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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
1 - 1
West Brom

Watmore (21')
Bryan (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Swift (67' pen.)
Bartley (17'), Kipre (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Of all the teams competing for a playoff spot, it is West Brom that have clicked into gear at the right time. Although Millwall have shown their own improvements, we are backing the Baggies to battle their way to a hard-fought victory at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.15% (0.038 0.04) 46.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.122 -0.12)58.12% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.096 -0.1)78.78% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)38.19% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.041 -0.04)74.95% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)24.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.121 -0.12)59.4% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 25.97%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.87%
    Draw 27.14%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
20.5%
Draw
31.8%
West Bromwich Albion
47.7%
44
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
2-1
West Brom
Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Swift (20')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
2-0
West Brom
Bennett (67'), Afobe (76')
Bennett (70')

Furlong (88')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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