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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (25' pen.)
Engel (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabango (14'), Franco (43'), Tymon (76'), Thomas (90+4'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

With Swansea more settled under Williams, they could produce a few surprises this season. However, on this occasion, we are backing Boro to edge a competitive contest, potentially having to ride out some nervy moments in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
51.2% (1.671 1.67) 23.32% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.47% (-1.72 -1.72)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.792 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (-1.638 -1.64)43.09% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-1.635 -1.64)65.49% (1.632 1.63)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.012 0.01)46.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-2.163 -2.16)30.49% (2.158 2.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-2.645 -2.65)66.7% (2.64 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.2%
    Swansea City 25.47%
    Draw 23.32%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.646 0.65)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.577 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.2%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.47%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
79.6%
Draw
9.3%
Swansea City
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
2-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
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Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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