Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 2
Swansea

Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Swansea City

This has the makings of an entertaining encounter given that Swansea have been one of the form teams in the division over the past couple of weeks. However, we cannot ignore Norwich's home form, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Swansea City
57.3% ( -0.04)	21.79% ( 0.01)	20.91% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.16% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.8% (

-0.04)

41.19% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4% (

-0.04)

63.59% (

0.04)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82% (

-0.03)

14.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.14% (

-0.05)

41.85% (

0.04)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

-0)

33.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

-0)

70.03% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 57.3%

Swansea City 20.91%

Draw 21.79%

Norwich City	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.79%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.91%