Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

The DW Stadium

Wigan
0 - 2
Luton

McClean (72'), Caulker (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cornick (11'), Adebayo (53')
Adebayo (72'), Potts (77'), Clark (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Luton Town

The most recent two meetings have been closer than many anticipated, and we expect another competitive match here. However, we feel like the same scoreline as Tuesday is the most likely outcome, albeit not with a last-gasp winner on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan Athletic	Draw	Luton Town
22.61% ( 0.02)	26.79% ( 0.02)	50.6% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 44.34% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.73% (

-0.05)

59.27% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32% (

-0.04)

79.68% (

0.04)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02% (

-0.01)

41.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58% (

-0.01)

78.41% (

0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

-0.04)

23.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34% (

-0.05)

57.65% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Wigan Athletic 22.61%

Luton Town 50.59%

Draw 26.79%

Wigan Athletic	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 22.61%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 14.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.59%