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Chapecoense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jul 9, 2021 at 1am UK
Arena Conda
Corinthians

Chapecoense
0 - 1
Corinthians


Ravanelli (58'), Jose Marques Maciel (78'), Leite Morais (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jo (60')

Preview: Chapecoense vs. Corinthians - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chapecoense have another chance to get off the mark with their first Brasileiro Serie A victory of the season on Thursday when they face Corinthians at Arena Conda.

The Big Green have lost five and drawn four of their first nine matches since returning to the top flight, while Corinthians have taken 11 points from the same number of games.


Match preview

Chapecoense manager Jair Ventura on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Sunday's 2-0 loss to Bahia, courtesy of second-half goals from Gilberto and Rodrigo Becao, leaves Chapecoense one place off the bottom of the division.

Jair Ventura's side have lost three of their last four games and are in desperate need of that maiden victory to properly kickstart their campaign.

Chapecoense also exited the Copa do Brasil last month, so their focus for now is on clawing their way out of the Brasileiro relegation zone.

The good news for the Big Green is that it remains incredibly tight at the bottom end of the division, with 16th-placed Sport Recife just two points better off.

Corinthians team huddle on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Corinthians hardly enter this game in the best of form, either, having won just one of their last eight matches - a 2-1 victory against Recife on June 24.

The Timao are the Brasileiro's draw experts, with five of their nine games this term finishing all square, including each of the last three.

That includes a 1-1 draw with Internacional last time out - Jo scoring 10 minutes from time in that one to cancel out Edenilson's penalty opener.

Corinthians' campaign could still go one of two ways, though a win here could possibly lift them all the way into the top six, giving Sylvinho's side all the motivation they need.

The most recent meeting between these sides finished 1-0 to Corinthians in October 2019, making it three wins in a row for the Timao in this fixture.

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Corinthians Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Corinthians' Jo celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on May 27, 2021© Reuters

Alan Santos returned to action as a substitute for Chapecoense last time out and is pushing for a first start of the season here.

Joilson remains an injury doubt, however, and the likes of Moises Ribeiro, Tiepo and Leo Gomes are also out of action.

With changes expected on the back of the 2-0 loss to Bahia, Mike could return to the starting lineup in attacking midfield.

As for Corinthians, Romulo Otero may be considered for selection following Venezuela's recent Copa America exit.

Leo Natel and Caique Franca have both recently been carrying injuries, meanwhile, and are not expected to play any part against Chapecoense.

Up top, former Manchester City striker Jo will be looking to build on a return of three goals from his first six appearances of the campaign.

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Ribeiro, Ignacio, Santana, Derlan; Guedes, Lima; Mike, Ravanelli, Fernandinho; Ramon

Corinthians possible starting lineup:
Cassio; Fagner, Victor, Gil, Santos; Cantillo, Gabriel; Gustavo, Otero, Vital; Jo


SM words green background

We say: Chapecoense 1-2 Corinthians

Chapecoense are still without a win this season, yet should they change that on Thursday they could pull themselves out of the relegation zone.

Opponents Corinthians have just the two wins to their name, meanwhile, having drawn more than half of their matches, but we can see them coming away with all three points here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Corinthians in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Chapecoense vs Corinthians

Chapecoense
17.1%
Draw
24.4%
Corinthians
58.5%
41
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Sao Paulo team huddle before the match on June 13, 2021
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