Evergrande
1 - 2
Jiangsu

Shihao (61')
Talisca (24'), Park (59')
Chao (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eder (45+3'), Teixeira (48')
Xiang (21'), Eder (49'), Luo (90+2'), Abdugheni (90+3'), Zhang (90+6'), Santini (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Final clash between Guangzhou and Jiangsu Suning.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Guangzhou Evergrande	Draw	Jiangsu Suning
46.74%	25.77%	27.5%

Both teams to score 51.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98%

52.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.24%

73.76%

Guangzhou Evergrande Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76%

22.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32%

55.68%

Jiangsu Suning Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37%

33.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72%

70.28%

Score Analysis

Guangzhou Evergrande 46.74%

Jiangsu Suning 27.5%

Draw 25.76%

Guangzhou Evergrande	Draw	Jiangsu Suning
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.74%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.5%