Beijing Guoan

2 - 1

Sh. Shenhua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.