Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23
Aug 19, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan2 - 1Sh. Shenhua
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Shenhua.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Wuhan TT 1-2 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
51.12% ( -1.31) | 24.92% ( 0.29) | 23.96% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( -0.24) | 51.24% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.21) | 73.07% ( 0.21) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% ( -0.62) | 20.04% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.74% ( -1.01) | 52.25% ( 1.01) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.82% ( 0.8) | 36.18% ( -0.8) |