Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zhejiang Professional in this match.