Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23
Aug 17, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Huitang Stadium
Meizhou Hakka2 - 1Changchun
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Meizhou Hakka and Changchun Yatai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shanghai Port 7-2 Meizhou Hakka
Friday, August 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, August 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Changchun 2-0 Wuhan TT
Saturday, August 10 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, August 10 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
Result | ||
Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
40.55% ( 0.76) | 25.16% ( -0.4) | 34.29% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.83% ( 1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.29% ( 1.72) | 46.7% ( -1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.03% ( 1.6) | 68.97% ( -1.59) |
Meizhou Hakka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( 1.15) | 22.9% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% ( 1.67) | 56.65% ( -1.66) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% ( 0.61) | 26.29% ( -0.6) |