Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.