MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 06:44:04| >> :600:10622447:10622447:
Club Leon
CONCACAF Champions League | Final | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Leon
Los Angeles FC

Club Leon
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Tesillo (8'), Mena (45+5' pen.)
Tesillo (33'), Frias (43'), Romero (65'), Barreiro (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bouanga (90+6')
Maldonado (45'), Hollingshead (45+4'), Cifuentes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Club Leon and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Club Leon 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Given that this is a two-leg affair, we expect a cagier encounter on Wednesday with few chances being taken for each side, though there are quality players on both teams who only need a half-chance to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Leon in this match.

Result
Club LeonDrawLos Angeles FC
43.72% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.5% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)44.45% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.82% (0.012 0.01)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.012 -0.01)52.9% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)26.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.02% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 43.73%
    Los Angeles FC 31.77%
    Draw 24.49%
Club LeonDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.73%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Club Leon vs Los Angeles

Club Leon
36.4%
Draw
27.3%
Los Angeles FC
36.4%
11
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2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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