CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg

Feb 21, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Ayma

Deportivo Saprissa
2 - 3
Philadelphia

(Philadelphia Union win 6-5 on aggregate)

Glesnes (28' og.), Taylor (90')
Sinclair (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carranza (55', 75', 79')
Carranza (37'), Andres Martinez (37'), Lowe (67'), Wagner (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Deportivo Saprissa and Philadelphia Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, November 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Saprissa win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Saprissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Saprissa	Draw	Philadelphia Union
44.87% ( 0.19)	25.51% ( -0.06)	29.62% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.78% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16% (

0.17)

49.84% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

0.16)

71.84% (

-0.16)

Deportivo Saprissa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

0.16)

22.18% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.41% (

0.24)

55.58% (

-0.24)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

-0)

30.89% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

-0.01)

67.18% (

Score Analysis

Deportivo Saprissa 44.86%

Philadelphia Union 29.62%

Draw 25.51%

Deportivo Saprissa	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.86%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.62%