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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Nov 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 1
Philadelphia


Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 New England
Saturday, October 28 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 New England
Saturday, October 28 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-2 Philadelphia Union (Philadelphia wins on penalties)

 The status of Carles Gil could play a big part in this encounter for New England, but despite all of their quality in the attacking third, the Revolution do not look comfortable when pressured in their own area of the field. Philly know how to handle these pressure situations, and we believe their big three of Gazdag, Uhre and Carranza, along with the shot-stopping ability of Andre Blake, will power them into the next round.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
45.3% (1.096 1.1) 23.54% (0.553 0.55) 31.16% (-1.653 -1.65)
Both teams to score 61.38% (-2.845 -2.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75% (-3.406 -3.41)40.25% (3.403 3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.38% (-3.603 -3.6)62.62% (3.599 3.6)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (-0.916 -0.92)18.07% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51% (-1.587 -1.59)48.99% (1.584 1.58)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-2.608 -2.61)25.08% (2.605 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-3.744 -3.74)59.76% (3.741 3.74)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 45.3%
    Philadelphia Union 31.16%
    Draw 23.54%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.231 0.23)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.957 0.96)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.642 0.64)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.263 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.304 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.676 0.68)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.512 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
30.0%
Draw
56.7%
Philadelphia Union
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 42')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
> Preview
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