MX23RW : Friday, November 8 19:08:34| >> :60:395:395:
Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 17, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Ayma
Panama national football team

Costa Rica
0 - 3
Panama


Campbell (10'), Arboine (43'), Aguilera (59'), Pablo Vargas (83'), Bran (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Murillo (4'), Fajardo (29'), Waterman Ruiz (60')
Godoy (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-4 UAE
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama

Panama have a familiarity with one another that is likely to take more time for the current Costa Rican squad to build, while Los Canaleros are hungry to win and should come into this match a lot fresher than their opponents, who have not played as many meaningful games of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawPanama
30.3% (1.824 1.82) 25.97% (0.38 0.38) 43.73% (-2.203 -2.2)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)51.42% (0.67599999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.592 -0.59)73.24% (0.593 0.59)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.983 0.98)31.22% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (1.129 1.13)67.56% (-1.129 -1.13)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-1.321 -1.32)23.4% (1.323 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-1.958 -1.96)57.38% (1.959 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 30.3%
    Panama 43.72%
    Draw 25.97%
Costa RicaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.448 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.295 0.3)
2-0 @ 4.95% (0.386 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.3%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.407 -0.41)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.285 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.72%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Panama

Costa Rica
48.3%
Draw
13.8%
Panama
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2023 2am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
1-2
Panama
Suarez (90+1')
Alcocer (15'), Azofeifa (84')
Fajardo (23'), Joel Barcenas (68')
Godoy (44')
Mar 29, 2023 3am
Jun 3, 2022
12.30am
Jan 28, 2022 2.05am
Third Round
Costa Rica
1-0
Panama
Ruiz (65')
Sep 3, 2021 2.05am
rhs 2.0
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