MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:02:11| >> :60:459:459:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Panama
3 - 0
Martinique

Fajardo (9'), Diaz (47'), Waterman Ruiz (90+3')
Godoy (29'), Francisco Welch Lopez (80'), Waterman Ruiz (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moltenis (4'), Herelle (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Panama
Sunday, August 27 at 9pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 6-4 Martinique
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Panama 2-0 Martinique

Panama are coming into this tournament hungry to win, and we believe the physicality and balanced attack that they possess will overpower their Caribbean opponents on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 7.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawMartinique
77.24% (0.221 0.22) 14.96% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09) 7.8% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 43.7% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)39.82% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.058 -0.06)62.18% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.49% (0.036999999999992 0.04)8.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.52% (0.090000000000003 0.09)29.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.76% (-0.363 -0.36)52.23% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.84% (-0.237 -0.24)86.15% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Panama 77.23%
    Martinique 7.8%
    Draw 14.96%
PanamaDrawMartinique
2-0 @ 13.49% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 11.08% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.83% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 3.36% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.38% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 77.23%
1-1 @ 7.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.96%
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 7.8%

How you voted: Panama vs Martinique

Panama
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Martinique
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Martinique
1-2
Panama
Fabien (90+3')
Reuperne (17')
Fajardo (57'), Murillo (69')
Godoy (79')
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
League A
Martinique
0-0
Panama
Jaleel Cavelan (89')
Jun 10, 2022 1am
League A
Panama
5-0
Martinique
Torres (6'), Vitulin (15' og.), Escobar (56'), Joel Barcenas (85', 90+3')
rhs 2.0
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