CONCACAF Gold Cup | Final
Jul 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Masafi Stadium
Mexico1 - 0Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: USA 1-1 Panama (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Honestly, this match could go either way, as these two teams have probably been the most consistent at the 2023 Gold Cup, but it seems as though being under-the-radar heading into this competition has served Mexico well, while the pressure of potentially being the first side from Central America to win this tournament may be too much for Los Canaleros to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Panama |
59.29% ( -0.11) | 23.81% ( 0.21) | 16.9% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.08% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.9) | 55.13% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.75) | 76.38% ( 0.75) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( -0.37) | 18.37% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.51% ( -0.64) | 49.49% ( 0.64) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.99% ( -0.66) | 46.01% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.28% ( -0.52) | 81.72% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 59.29%
Panama 16.9%
Draw 23.8%
| Mexico | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.9% |
How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2
Winner Semi-final 1
68.1%Draw
10.6%Winner Semi-final 2
21.3%47
