MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 17:24:04| >> :600:42521496:42521496:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Final
Jul 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Masafi Stadium
Panama national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Panama

Gimenez (88')
Vasquez (11'), Montes (45+3'), Gallardo (54'), Alvarez (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cummings (21'), Christiansen (26'), Carrasquilla (55'), Godoy (64'), Mosquera (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Panama (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Mexico 1-0 Panama

 Honestly, this match could go either way, as these two teams have probably been the most consistent at the 2023 Gold Cup, but it seems as though being under-the-radar heading into this competition has served Mexico well, while the pressure of potentially being the first side from Central America to win this tournament may be too much for Los Canaleros to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawPanama
59.29% (-0.109 -0.11) 23.81% (0.207 0.21) 16.9% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.08% (-0.747 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.904 -0.9)55.13% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.749 -0.75)76.38% (0.749 0.75)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.374 -0.37)18.37% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.638 -0.64)49.49% (0.638 0.64)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.99% (-0.665 -0.66)46.01% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (-0.521 -0.52)81.72% (0.52 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 59.29%
    Panama 16.9%
    Draw 23.8%
MexicoDrawPanama
1-0 @ 14.32% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 12.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.9%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
68.1%
Draw
10.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
21.3%
47
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 11pm
Third-Place Playoff
Panama
0-1
Mexico

Quintero Medina (33'), Godoy (57'), Mejia (75'), Martinez (78'), Miller (90')
Gallardo (4')
Romo (28'), Herrera (31'), Araujo (45+4'), Vasquez (54'), Sanchez (81'), Reyes (84')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Third Round
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Herrera (46')
Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-1
Mexico
Blackburn (28')
Corona (76')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
3-0
Panama
> Preview
Jul 23, 2015 2am
Semi-Finals
Panama
1-2
Mexico
Torres (56')
Godoy (3'), Nurse (78'), Pimentel (83'), Machado (88'), Cooper (90'), Torres (103'), Cummings (107')
Tejada (24')
Guardado (90' pen., 105')
Vela (3'), Herrera (54'), Aguilar (90'), Orozco (94')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!