CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 18, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
Panama3 - 0Guatemala
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curacao 1-2 Panama
Friday, October 13 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, October 13 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-2 Guatemala
Saturday, October 14 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, October 14 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Panama 1-0 Guatemala
Panama know how to react when needing a victory, while this is relatively new territory for the Guatemalans, who have to be a little low on confidence after squandering a two-goal lead the last time out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Guatemala |
55.49% ( 0.83) | 23.9% ( -0.41) | 20.6% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
