MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:55:01| >> :60:1306:1306:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 15, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca
Ghana national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
Ghana

Lozano (57'), Uriel (72')
Sanchez (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Partey (18'), Aidoo (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-3 Uzbekistan
Wednesday, September 13 at 1am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

Ghana

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Liberia
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 2-2 Ghana

 Neither team will want to suffer defeat in this match having built up solid unbeaten runs across recent months, and we can envisage an entertaining draw as a result. The two sides are both more capable offensively than defensively in terms of individual talent, particularly in the case of Ghana, who have several exciting attackers at their disposal to hurt Mexico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawGhana
51.91% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.42% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 22.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66% (0.041000000000004 0.04)54.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (0.034000000000002 0.03)75.72% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.02300000000001 0.02)20.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03)53.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (0.022000000000006 0.02)39.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.021999999999998 0.02)75.82% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 51.89%
    Ghana 22.68%
    Draw 25.42%
MexicoDrawGhana
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.89%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 22.68%

How you voted: Mexico vs Ghana

Mexico
62.8%
Draw
14.0%
Ghana
23.3%
86
rhs 2.0
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