World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 2.10am UK
USA2 - 0Mexico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Mexico |
| 38.36% | 26.63% | 35% |
| Both teams to score 52.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% | 74.54% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% | 26.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.81% | 62.19% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% | 28.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.27% | 64.72% |
| Score Analysis |
USA 38.36%
Mexico 35%
Draw 26.63%
| USA | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35% |
How you voted: USA vs Mexico
USA
38.0%Draw
21.7%Mexico
40.2%92
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2019 2am
