Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 2am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Bolivia1 - 3Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uruguay 5-0 Bolivia
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Bolivia 0-1 Panama
Being without Carrasquilla will not make it easy, but we still believe there are enough quality Panamanian players capable of penetrating a weak and psychologically beaten-up Bolivian backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Panama |
13.5% ( -0.37) | 19.42% ( -0.01) | 67.08% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.81) | 43.69% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.79) | 66.08% ( 0.79) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.2% ( -1.06) | 43.79% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.05% ( -0.88) | 79.95% ( 0.88) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( -0.14) | 12.08% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.39% ( -0.28) | 37.61% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Bolivia 13.5%
Panama 67.07%
Draw 19.42%
| Bolivia | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.5% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.42% | 0-2 @ 11.81% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.34)1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 8.33% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 67.07% |
How you voted: Bolivia vs Panama
Bolivia
8.7%Draw
14.7%Panama
76.7%150
Head to Head
