MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 11:17:12| >> :120:10789:10789:
Panama national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2024 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
USA national football team

Panama
2 - 1
USA

Blackman (26'), Fajardo (83')
Guerrero (45'), Farina (90+2'), Gondola (90+3')
Carrasquilla (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balogun (22')
Robinson (33'), Richards (89')
Weah (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa America clash between Panama and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay123
2USA123
3Panama1-20
4Bolivia1-20

USA

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: USA 2-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa America
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay123
2USA123
3Panama1-20
4Bolivia1-20

We said: Panama 0-1 USA

 Panama have proven they can compete with the top nations in CONCACAF, but we believe Los Canaleros will have difficulty contending with the Americans' youthful exuberance and intensity for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Panama had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Panama win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawUSA
22.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 52.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-0.143 -0.14)51.06% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-0.126 -0.13)72.91% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7% (-0.064 -0.06)37.3% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92% (-0.061 -0.06)74.08% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)19.3% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (-0.131 -0.13)51.04% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Panama 22.64%
    USA 52.8%
    Draw 24.55%
PanamaDrawUSA
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22.64%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 52.8%

How you voted: Panama vs USA

Panama
10.3%
Draw
16.1%
USA
73.5%
155
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
Semi-Finals
USA
1-1
Panama
(Aggregate 1-1 | Panama win 5-4 on penalties)
Ferreira (105')
Robinson (86')
Anderson (99')
Godoy (101')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
USA
5-1
Panama
Pulisic (17' pen., 45+4' pen., 65'), Arriola (23'), Ferreira (27')
Pulisic (69'), Long (85')
Godoy (86')
Godoy (45+3'), Blackburn (45+3'), Davis (57')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2021 11pm
Third Round
Panama
1-0
USA
Godoy (54')
Stephens (76')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
USA
6-2
Panama
Reyna (18'), Gioacchini (22', 26'), Soto (83', 90+1'), Lletget (87')
McKennie (50'), Gioacchini (51')
Fajardo (8', 79')
Escobar (41'), Murillo (42'), Griffith (70'), Torres (73')
Jun 27, 2019 2am
Group Stage
Panama
0-1
USA

Galvan (74')
Altidore (66')
rhs 2.0
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