World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez

Panama
2 - 0
Guyana

Martinez (62'), Luis Rodriguez (65')
Cordoba (36'), Godoy (77'), Luis Rodriguez (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vancooten (34'), Moriah-Welsh (67'), Gordon (88'), Moore (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Guyana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bolivia	0	0	0
2	Uruguay	0	0	0
3	Panama	0	0	0
4	USA	0	0	0

Guyana

All competitions

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-0 Guyana
Thursday, May 16 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Even if Christiansen does not choose his traditional side, we believe Panama are far superior in virtually every capacity when compared to Guyana, so the latter could learn a hard lesson in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Panama in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Panama.

Result
Panama	Draw	Guyana
66.3% ( 0.08)	19.88% ( -0.07)	13.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.79% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.01% (

0.29)

44.99% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

0.28)

67.34% (

-0.28)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

0.11)

12.68% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.13% (

0.23)

38.87% (

-0.23)

Guyana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.88% (

0.16)

44.12% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

0.13)

80.22% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Panama 66.3%

Guyana 13.82%

Draw 19.88%

Panama	Draw	Guyana
2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 66.3%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.88%	0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.82%