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World Cup
Montserrat national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 10, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Futbol
Panama national football team

Montserrat
1 - 3
Panama

Simon (48')
Comley (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welch (40'), Fajardo (61'), Luis Rodriguez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Montserrat and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Panama

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Panama 2-0 Guyana
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Montserrat 0-3 Panama

 There is a good amount of continuity at Montserrat, with many players featuring at various clubs in the EFL, but we believe they need more experience against the stronger opponents in this region. Panama are among the strongest sides in CONCACAF qualifying, and their midfield workhorses should be able to win their share of possession and create openings this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
MontserratDrawPanama
12.52% (-0.347 -0.35) 18.63% (-0.593 -0.59) 68.85% (0.94200000000001 0.94)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.965 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (1.828 1.83)42.44% (-1.828 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.15% (1.8 1.8)64.85% (-1.799 -1.8)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.46% (0.606 0.61)44.53% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.44% (0.484 0.48)80.56% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.77900000000001 0.78)11.24% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.19% (1.676 1.68)35.81% (-1.674 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 12.52%
    Panama 68.84%
    Draw 18.63%
MontserratDrawPanama
1-0 @ 4.05% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-1 @ 3.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.64% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 12.52%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.63%
0-2 @ 11.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.71% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.206 0.21)
0-4 @ 4.76% (0.204 0.2)
1-4 @ 3.85% (0.227 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.129 0.13)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.15 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.68% (0.148 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 68.84%

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