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World Cup
Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Uruguay national football team

Argentina
0 - 2
Uruguay


Mac Allister (35'), Martinez (68'), Romero (77'), Palacios (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Araujo (41'), Nunez (87')
Ugarte (32'), Gimenez (67'), Olivera (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Uruguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, October 18 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Argentina 2-0 Uruguay

 Argentina cannot take Uruguay lightly following their impressive win over Brazil last time out, but the world champions will be regarded as favourites for Friday's contest. Scaloni seems to have settled on a side that has enjoyed plenty of success over the last 12 months and with star man Messi set to lead his nation out once again, we believe that the hosts should have few problems claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 8.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawUruguay
73.23% (-0.104 -0.1) 18.3% (0.395 0.4) 8.48% (-0.2921 -0.29)
Both teams to score 36.17% (-2.219 -2.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-2.405 -2.41)52.03% (2.404 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-2.116 -2.12)73.76% (2.116 2.12)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (-0.73 -0.73)12.79% (0.729 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (-1.524 -1.52)39.08% (1.523 1.52)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.48% (-2.18 -2.18)58.52% (2.179 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.12% (-1.21 -1.21)89.88% (1.208 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 73.22%
    Uruguay 8.48%
    Draw 18.3%
ArgentinaDrawUruguay
2-0 @ 15.82% (0.62 0.62)
1-0 @ 15.39% (1.02 1.02)
3-0 @ 10.85% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.263 -0.26)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.207 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 8.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.69 0.69)
2-2 @ 2.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.3%
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.21% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 8.48%

How you voted: Argentina vs Uruguay

Argentina
75.4%
Draw
11.5%
Uruguay
13.1%
61
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Nov 12, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-1
Argentina
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> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
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3-0
Uruguay
Messi (38'), De Paul (44'), Martinez (62')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2021 1am
Group Stage
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1-0
Uruguay
> Preview
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Argentina
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Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!