World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 22, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
1 - 1
Venezuela

Yotun (17')
Lopez (27'), Yotun (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savarino (54')
Machis (24'), Osorio (44'), Castillo (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bolivia 2-0 Peru
Thursday, November 16 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Peru have looked a shadow of the side of years gone by in this section so far, so they will need to make home advantage count in order to get their campaign back on track. Despite having never before won in Peru, Venezuela have looked inspired in this campaign so far and could continue their unbeaten streak with another decent result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Venezuela
37.34% ( 0.01)	29.93% ( -0)	32.73% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.14% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.98% (

-0)

65.01% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.1%

83.9% (

-0)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.01)

33.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

0.01)

70.13% (

-0.01)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

-0.01)

36.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

-0.01)

73.42% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Peru 37.34%

Venezuela 32.73%

Draw 29.92%

Peru	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.34%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.26% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.92%	0-1 @ 12.32% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.73%