Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de La Condomina
Deportivo Murcia0 - 10Alaves
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Deportivo Murcia and Alaves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 96.18%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Deportivo Murcia had a probability of 0.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (15.87%) and 0-2 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.65%), while for a Deportivo Murcia win it was 1-0 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-10 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Murcia | Draw | Alaves |
0.54% ( 0.01) | 3.27% ( -0.02) | 96.18% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 18.27% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.67% ( 0.29) | 22.33% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.65% ( 0.39) | 41.35% ( -0.39) |
Deportivo Murcia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
18.64% ( 0.36) | 81.36% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
1.85% ( 0.07) | 98.14% ( -0.07) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.97% ( 0.04) | 2.03% ( -0.03) |