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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Alaves

Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves

A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlaves
49.29% (0.467 0.47) 25.05% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.66% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.023 -0.02)72.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.18599999999999 0.19)20.45% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (0.299 0.3)52.91% (-0.303 -0.3)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)34.23% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.372 -0.37)70.93% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.29%
    Alaves 25.66%
    Draw 25.05%
VillarrealDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal
70.5%
Draw
18.2%
Alaves
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
Sep 30, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
1-2
Villarreal
Joselu (80')
Ely (45'), Duarte (82')
Bacca (10'), Nino (89')
Quintilla (70')
rhs 2.0
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Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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