La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal1 - 1Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Las Palmas
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Betis
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 1-0 Alaves
A scrappy 1-0 win would do Villarreal here, as it is a result and not a performance that they need most at this moment in time. Alaves are capable of making it an uncomfortable match, but we believe that the home side will have enough quality to secure a much-needed three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
49.29% ( 0.47) | 25.05% ( -0.07) | 25.66% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.02) | 50.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.02) | 72.31% ( 0.02) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.19) | 20.45% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.09% ( 0.3) | 52.91% ( -0.3) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.35) | 34.23% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.07% ( -0.37) | 70.93% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 49.29%
Alaves 25.66%
Draw 25.05%
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.66% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves
Villarreal
70.5%Draw
18.2%Alaves
11.4%44
Head to Head
Form Guide
