Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Lepe
San Roque de Lepe1 - 2Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: San Roque de Lepe 1-4 Girona
Girona are currently one of the best sides in Spain's top flight, and as La Liga's joint-highest scorers, we think that their firepower will help them ease to a comfortable cup victory over lower-league opposition on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for San Roque de Lepe had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.39%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a San Roque de Lepe win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Roque de Lepe | Draw | Girona |
13.57% ( 0.37) | 20.29% ( 0.18) | 66.14% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
