MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:59:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estoril
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Carvalho (47')
Alvaro (19'), Xeka (29'), Holsgrove (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Santos (26'), Mendes (84'), Varela (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril
Saturday, January 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

While Vitoria have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning the last seven encounters, their current struggles to turn draws into victories could shift this one toward a more balanced outcome. Estoril's recent form suggests they will put up a strong challenge, but with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses, a stalemate feels like the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
18.73% (-0.462 -0.46) 23.45% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 57.81% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.601 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.405 -0.41)51.25% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.354 -0.35)73.09% (0.352 0.35)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-0.757 -0.76)41.49% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-0.674 -0.67)77.99% (0.672 0.67)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.037999999999997 0.04)17.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.065999999999995 0.07)47.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.73%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.81%
    Draw 23.44%
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.81% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.41% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 57.81%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Andres Ramirez (32')
Villanueva (10'), Borevkovic (26')

Begraoui (56')
Mar 2, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 24
Estoril
1-3
Guimaraes
Marques (69' pen.)
Marques (45+3')
Mendes (8'), Silva (22'), Oliveira (42')
Ribeiro (28'), Silva (55'), Charles (87'), Andre (90+5'), Handel (90+1')
Oct 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
3-2
Estoril
Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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