Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga3 - 0Boavista
We said: Braga 2-0 Boavista
Braga will be licking their lips as they welcome the challenge of an out-of-sorts Boavista side who have failed to taste victory in their last eight outings since November 2. Carvalhal's men have won their last four games against Boavista, and given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing them to extend this streak on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
79.19% ( -0.7) | 13.45% ( 0.37) | 7.36% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
