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Atletico Madrid logo
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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Leganes logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Leganes


Jauregizar (22')
FT

Altimira (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 4-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, January 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Leganes

Athletic have the third-best home record in La Liga this season, while Leganes have only managed one away victory during the 2024-25 campaign. We are expecting a tricky Leganes outfit to make this a tough match for Athletic, but the Basque outfit should be able to navigate their way to another important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawLeganes
51.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 25.69% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 23.17% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.92% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (0.096000000000004 0.1)54.9% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (0.079000000000001 0.08)76.19% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (0.076999999999998 0.08)21.5% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (0.11499999999999 0.11)54.55% (-0.113 -0.11)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)38.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)75.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 51.15%
    Leganes 23.17%
    Draw 25.68%
Athletic BilbaoDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Leganes

Athletic Bilbao
78.9%
Draw
10.5%
Leganes
10.5%
57
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 7
Leganes
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

de la Fuente (41'), Rosier (63'), Tapia (90')
Vivian (65'), Williams (75')
Jul 16, 2020 8pm
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 6
Leganes
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Oscar (61')
Garcia (59' pen.)
Garcia (75')
Apr 24, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 34
Leganes
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Tarin (39')
En-Nesyri (43' og.)
Cordoba (44'), Lekue (90')
Aug 20, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Leganes
Nolaskoain (26'), Muniain (90')
Alvarez (17'), Berchiche (52'), Garcia (79'), Muniain (90')
Silva (32')
Garcia Carnero (40'), Carrillo (54'), Gumbau (77'), Silva (80'), Santos (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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