Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw has a probability of 18.9% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Valencia win it is 0-1 (4.1%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Valencia |
67.56% ( 0.17) | 18.91% ( 0.13) | 13.53% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% ( -1.27) | 41.29% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.31% ( -1.3) | 63.69% ( 1.31) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.75% ( -0.31) | 11.25% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.16% ( -0.69) | 35.84% ( 0.7) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.77% ( -1.23) | 42.24% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.36% ( -1.08) | 78.64% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Valencia |
2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.89% Total : 67.56% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.91% | 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |