Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo
2 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

(Flamengo win 3-2 on aggregate)

De Arrascaeta (45+1', 64')
Ribeiro (35'), Gomes (55'), Maia (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrigues de Souza (43'), Alonso (63'), Mariano (90+8')
Alonso (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bragantino	16	4	21
10	Flamengo	16	1	21
11	Botafogo	16	-4	21

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Internacional	16	8	28
4	Atletico Mineiro	16	7	28
5	Fluminense	16	7	27

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

With Flamengo's injury and illness issues, Atletico Mineiro appear to be a more settled and confident unit at this stage of the season. As such, we expect the reigning Serie A and Copa do Brasil champions to avoid defeat, with their chances of retaining both competitions consequently remaining alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
45.49% ( 0.34)	25.83% ( 0.13)	28.67% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

-0.77)

51.62% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

-0.67)

73.41% (

0.67)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

-0.17)

22.65% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72% (

-0.25)

56.28% (

0.25)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

-0.75)

32.5% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.85)

69.03% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 45.49%

Atletico Mineiro 28.68%

Draw 25.82%

Flamengo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.68%