Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional2 - 2Olimpia
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Olimpia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 3-1 Melgar
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Nacional | Draw | Olimpia |
36.26% ( -0.4) | 27.82% ( -0) | 35.91% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.42% ( 0.02) | 57.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.64% ( 0.02) | 78.36% ( -0.02) |
Atletico Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.24) | 30.37% ( 0.24) |