Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 12, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres
Guarani0 - 2Atletico Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Guarani and Atletico Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Guarani | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 35.42% | 27.62% | 36.96% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
