Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Libertad1 - 0Atletico Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 47% | 25.12% | 27.87% |
| Both teams to score 53.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% | 49.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% | 71.24% |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% | 20.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.31% | 53.69% |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% | 31.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.73% | 68.27% |
| Score Analysis |
Club Libertad 47%
Atletico Nacional 27.87%
Draw 25.12%
| Club Libertad | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.58% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.87% |
How you voted: Libertad vs Atletico Nacional
Club Libertad
14.3%Draw
14.3%Atletico Nacional
71.4%7
Head to Head
Form Guide
