MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:07:09| >> :60:549:549:
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
1 - 1
El Nacional

Rivero (68')
Pineida (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alexander Ledesma Felix (45+9' pen.)
Velez (18'), David Olmedo Garrido (41')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Barcelona SC and El Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

El Nacional

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for El Nacional had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a El Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawEl Nacional
62.96% (0.103 0.1) 21.07% (0.0010000000000012 0) 15.98% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (-0.172 -0.17)45.8% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (-0.165 -0.17)68.12% (0.172 0.17)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.93% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.63% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)41.38% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
El Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39% (-0.228 -0.23)41.62% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.201 -0.2)78.1% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 62.95%
    El Nacional 15.98%
    Draw 21.06%
Barcelona SCDrawEl Nacional
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 62.95%
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.06%
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2025 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
El Nacional
0-1
Barcelona

Carabali (3'), Andres Cabezas Briones (62'), Ignacio Flor Blanco (75')
Velez (78' og.)
Arroyo (43'), Pineida (90')
rhs 2.0
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